Reason For Fluminense vs Vitoria Betting Tips
This game sees two sides in poor form clash. Fluminense have taken just 1 point from their last 4 while Vitoria haven’t managed to avoid defeat in any of their last 4 games which has plunged them deep into relegation trouble with 6 games to go. They’ve been a strange team in many ways this term, as prior to that 4 game losing streak where they haven’t even scored, they won 4-1 away from home at Chapecoense. They do have the best goal-scoring record of the sides in the drop-zone and their matches this term overall average a solid 2.56 goals per game so their recent low-scoring run may just be a blip.
Looking at Fluminense’s recent games you’d certainly expect this match to produce goals. Both teams have scored in all of Fluminense’s last 5 matches and all of the last 7 at home. There have been over 2.5 goals in all of their last 6 home games and they are in a position in the league where they are in no danger of going down but need wins to get into the Copa Libertadores places, so they have no reason not to be very positive here and try and win this game.
Flu certainly have a bit more about them than Vitoria but they rarely look like keeping a clean sheet right now and haven’t managed that in any of their last 8 home games in all competitions. Their home league matches this term average 2.88 goals per game and given Vitoria know only a win will lift them out of the drop-zone, they can’t really afford to come here and merely play for a point.
Therefore, this game may be a bit more open than their recent ones and more open than the bookies seem to be expecting. For those reasons backing Over 2.5 Goals at 19/20 looks to offer decent value here.
Head To Head
Vitoria have won 3 of the last 4 meetings. They’ve won 2-1 and 3-2 on their last two visits to Fluminense.
Fluminense vs Vitoria Stats
There have been over 2.5 goals in 56% of Flu home league matches this term, including all of the last 6. Both teams have scored in 62% of Vitoria's away games.